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US job gains stable despite concern over economic risks

March 7, 2025
in Business
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US job gains stable despite concern over economic risks
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Getty Images Rick Bielke, a former USAID employee, who believes he is currently on administrative leave but is unsure of his status as he is locked out of his communications, pushes personal items on a skateboard as he leaves the former USAID offices at the Ronald Reagan Building and International Trade Center on February 27, 2025 in Washington, DC.Getty Images

Job growth in the US continued last month, although at a weaker rate than expected, as questions rise about the prospects for the economy.

Employers added 151,000 jobs and the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.1%, from 4% in January, the Labor Department said.

The monthly report from the government is a closely-watched signal of economic health.

It was under particular scrutiny this month, amid rising concern about the economic disruption sparked by Trump administration policy changes.

Analysts had been forecasting about 170,000 new jobs. The monthly gain in February was similar to the average monthly rise of 168,000 over the past year, the Labor Department said.

Hiring was driven by health care and financial firms.

Government hiring slowed sharply, with employment in the federal government falling by 10,000. Analysts cautioned that the report did not yet reflect the full extent of the cuts that the White House has announced.

Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management, said the report felt “reassuringly in line with expectations, showing payrolls growth only modestly weaker than in recent months”.

“Yet, while the worst fears were not met, the report does confirm that the labour market is cooling,” she warned.

“Furthermore, with no shortage of headwinds confronting the US economy, the softening trend is likely to persist and may potentially deepen given the toxic combination of federal government layoffs, public spending cuts, and tariff uncertainty related inertia.”

Even before Donald Trump took office as president, financial analysts had been surprised at the long-running streak of growth in the US labour market, which came despite pressure from price increases and high interest rates.

In his first weeks, Trump’s changes to US policy have added to pressures on the economy, generating widespread uncertainty.

Those include tariffs on America’s top three trade partners, some of which have since been reversed, and cuts to federal jobs and spending, efforts that are facing challenges in the courts.

Polls indicate that the moves have the support of his base. But financial analysts have warned that they are contributing to worries in financial markets, hurting consumer sentiment and fuelling weakness across a range of other economic indicators.

A measure of manufacturing showed new orders dropping sharply last month. Retail sales posted their biggest drop in two years in January, while foot traffic at major chains such as Target, Walmart and McDonald’s fell last month, according to data from tracking firm Placer.ai.

Private firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that layoffs in February jumped to their highest level since July 2020, driven by government cuts.

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