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Ahmed Balaha
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Binance reserves have dropped to levels not seen since early 2024, and the timing is interesting. Right as liquidity thins out, price ripped 4.5% toward $1.50. That is not a coincidence the market can ignore.
On chain data shows Binance now holds only about 2.5 billion XRP. That is a noticeable squeeze on the sell side. Less supply sitting on exchanges usually means less immediate selling pressure.
And with sentiment slowly turning bullish again, this kind of liquidity drain can add fuel fast. When supply tightens and demand wakes up at the same time, things can move quicker than most expect.
- Binance XRP reserves have plummeted to roughly 2.5 billion, the lowest point since early 2024.
- Nearly 700 million coins have exited the exchange since November 2024, signaling a potential move to cold storage.
- Analysts interpret shrinking exchange balances as a classic accumulation signal that reduces selling pressure.
Is a Supply Shock Incoming?
The shift is not small. In November 2024, Binance was holding around 3.2 billion XRP. Now that number is closer to 2.5 billion. That is roughly 700 million tokens gone, about 22% of the stack wiped from exchange wallets in just over a year.
Analysts says this kind of drop usually signals tighter sell side liquidity. When coins leave exchanges, they often move into self custody. That is typically a longer term play, something institutions and whales tend to do when they are positioning, not trading.
What makes it more interesting is the timing. This reserve drain happened right after Binance rolled out full XRPL support for RLUSD. Many expected higher on chain velocity. Instead, XRP itself started flowing out.
Less supply on exchanges. Stronger price reaction. That combination is getting hard to ignore.
The Short Squeeze Scenario
What happens next comes down to funding rates. XRP funding recently hit 10 month lows, and historically that kind of reset has often come before strong upside moves.
If shorts are getting crowded while exchange supply keeps shrinking, a clean break above $1.55 could spark a sharp squeeze toward $1.80.
The setup is also getting support from improving regulatory sentiment, especially with Ripple leadership gaining more visibility in Washington.
For now, $1.45 is the key level to watch. If price holds there while reserves continue falling, that is the kind of confirmation bulls want before aiming for new highs.
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