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Ahmed Barakat
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Google Gemini AI just predicts a number to Micron price prediction that treats the stock’s wild run this year as the beginning rather than the peak. The model sees $1,650 by the end of 2026, a fresh high for a name that started the year trading nowhere close to these levels.
The bull case centers on a supply crunch unlike anything the memory industry has seen in over a decade. Micron is riding an unprecedented DRAM supply demand deficit, described as the tightest the industry has experienced in 15 years.
That scarcity is showing up directly in the numbers, with an explosive year over year quarterly earnings leap fueling the entire move.
The bigger story, though, is a transformation in how the market views this company. Micron is shifting from a cyclical commodity play to something closer to an AI infrastructure powerhouse, and that shift in identity underpins the path toward $1,650.
The most important structural catalyst is that Micron’s advanced HBM4 capacity is entirely sold out through 2026 under rigid multi-year agreements, which lock in demand regardless of short-term market swings. Gross margins are expanding past 80%, fueling a projected fiscal 2026 earnings per share of $57.71.
On top of that, Micron is getting immediate tailwinds from feeding Nvidia’s next-generation Blackwell and Vera Rubin architectures, putting it directly in the supply chain of the biggest names in AI computing. Even with the stock’s massive run already behind it, it still trades at a forward price to earnings ratio under 10, which the model frames as remarkably cheap given the growth on display.
The bear case is fairly narrow but worth noting. High beta-driven volatility makes this stock exceptionally sensitive to any broader macroeconomic shock, meaning a market-wide pullback could hit shares harder than most.
Aggressive capital expenditures tracking over 25 billion dollars also create a real risk of oversupply by mid 2027 if competitors like Samsung and SK Hynix flood the market right as hyperscaler AI infrastructure demand eventually normalizes.
That combination of risks is exactly why the model stops short of calling for an outright push toward $2,000 this year.
Micron Rides A Supply Crunch Straight Into Uncharted Territory
The daily chart shows Micron at $1,048.51 after one of the most dramatic runs in this entire series, climbing from around $200 late last year to briefly touching highs above $1,230 just this week.
That kind of vertical move, especially the acceleration visible from May onward, is the definition of a parabolic breakout rather than a typical grinding uptrend.
Price recently pulled back from that intraday high near $1,232 down to the current level around $1,048, which looks like healthy profit taking after an earnings driven spike rather than a trend reversal.
The chart shows clear support building near $1,000, a round number level that price has tested and held multiple times over the past few sessions. Resistance now sits at that recent high near $1,232, with the broader trendline from the entire 2026 run continuing to point sharply upward.
Given the size and speed of this move, momentum on the daily candles still looks strongly bullish overall, even with this short term cooling off period factored in.
The pullback from the highs reflects normal digestion after a binding multi year HBM4 contract story and a blowout earnings beat, not a change in the underlying trend.
If Micron can hold the $1,000 level and push back toward its recent highs, the climb toward that $1,650 target starts looking like a continuation of the same story that has driven this stock all year rather than a stretch into new territory.
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