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Ahmed Barakat
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Bitcoin price dropped 5.5% to $61,322 in early trading today as the news says this is its lowest level since February 6, before clawing back above $64,000 by afternoon, and now it’s sitting at $63,300.
The move completes a full round-trip, erasing every basis point of the rally that Middle East conflict headlines had built into BTC pricing over the prior three months.
The erasure of that geopolitical premium matters beyond the price level itself. It is a live stress test of the digital gold narrative, and the test results, again, are not flattering.
Bitcoin did not hold value during renewed Middle East tensions. It sold off with risk assets and then bounced with them. That is a risk-asset behavioral pattern, not a haven one.
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Bitcoin News: BTC Support at $60,000–$65,000 Is the Line That Matters Now
Data BTC’s current critical support zone is between $60,000 and $65,000, and the price is sitting directly inside it.
More specifically, BTC has slipped below the Short-Term Holder Realized Price, the average cost basis for recent buyers, which historically functions as a pivot between bullish continuation and deeper mean-reversion.
Breaking cleanly below $61,000 on a closing basis opens the next structural level near $58,000.
The chart structure is damaged but not broken. The 20-day moving average was breached on the way down, a clean technical flush that coincided with the $1.85 billion liquidation event that tore through leveraged long positions.
Institutional inflow via spot ETFs, which drove aggressive net buying earlier in 2026, has shifted into a two-way flow; several days of net outflows now punctuate what was a one-directional accumulation story.
If BTC holds the $61,000 to $62,000 zone, funding rates reset negative, and short-term holders stabilize, a relief rally toward $68,000 sets up.
If the macro catalyst fails to arrive, Bitcoin consolidates between $62,000 and $65,000 while the market waits on US jobs data or Fed commentary to set the next directional leg.
A daily close below $61,000 triggers a second flush toward $58,000, where longer-term holder cost basis and prior accumulation zones offer the next real support.
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